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The World Bank, on the other hand, jobs 3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. The IMF likewise sees momentum improving, with GCC output development forecasted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent typically in 2025, reflecting a shift toward more favorable general conditions.
How AI Shift Does Drive Growth?The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) projects worldwide development easing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would position the region materially ahead of the world average and a little above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, strengthening the GCC's status as a reasonably high-growth pocketprovided that local risk conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.
Why Future-Focused Strategy Reshapes the Regional EconomyData from the GCC Statistical Center reveal that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has continued to rise as governments expand financial investment in services, infrastructure, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, improving credit conditions, and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Public-sector investment and reform remain central to sustaining this trend. Policy measures aimed at attracting foreign direct investment, easing foreign ownership rules, expanding capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil expansion and reduce the region's exposure to oil rate volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil incomes are expected to play a supportive function in 2026.
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