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To reverse a decade of compromising total element productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from simple task development to managing active labor force shifts. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are intensifying their focus on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil profits structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial durability through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, managed labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most worldwide regions peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil earnings will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate further financial investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil costs, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services remain essential growth motorists, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get once again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching ongoing financial investment in facilities, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has been available in building varied, resistant and internationally competitive economies.
Crucial GCC Market Analysis Insights in 2026Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economic Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, including the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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